This Important Short-Term Indicator is Warning Investors the Market is Quickly Becoming Overbought

ByBrad Lamensdorf

The Investor Intelligence Short-Term Composite Indicator has proven to be a valuable tool for short-term market timing ever since it was developed in the 1960s. A reading of over 70 means the general index has become oversold. Below 30, it has become overbought. Three weeks ago, as shown in the chart below, it was at…

Investor Sentiment Continues to Indicate Investors Should Reduce Exposure

ByBrad Lamensdorf

We use investor sentiment as a contrarian indicator of where the market is headed since investors are usually wrong. As we pointed out in last week’s sentiment report investors were registering extreme caution and fear just before the equity markets’ recent big upward moves. Now this week, continuing the trend of a week ago, investor…

Why Trading in the Financial Sector XLF ETF is Worrisome

ByBrad Lamensdorf

The chart below represents trading in the Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) with a portfolio of the big-name banks and other financial institutions, a major stock sector for obvious reasons. Looking at the XLF chart over the last two years as a proxy for the financial stocks we can see that a very negative…

Investor Sentiment Suggests You May Want to Reduce Exposure

ByBrad Lamensdorf

We use investor sentiment as a contrarian indicator of where the market is headed since investors are usually wrong.  So just before the recent big downward moves, investors were extremely fearful. And what do you know? The market moved up.  Now after the more recent moves up, investor short-term and intermediate-term sentiment has become more…