Massive Leverage Suggests Painful Downside (When it Comes)

By John Del Vecchio and Brad Lamensdorf Many investors have short-term memories. In late 2018 as speculators came off margin there was a very painful decline. Speculators got a lump of coal in their stocking for Christmas that year. This set up a very tradable bounce in early 2019. Fast forward to 2020, and take…

The Fed is Getting Tipsy on TIPS

By John Del Vecchio and Brad Lamensdorf Inflation expectations are headline news recently. The big question on many market watchers’ minds is what impact the reopening of the economy post COVID and flush with stimulus will have on inflation. Many have downplayed inflation expectations and the view that there will be a huge burst of…

The Good Times are Rolling but the Market is Climaxing

By John Del Vecchio and Brad Lamensdorf Buying climaxes are exploding! This is bearish for the market. A buying climax is when a stock makes a 52-week high but closes down for the week. Take a look at the chart: The red bar represents buying climaxing, and the blue bar is selling climaxes. As the…