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Euphoria Hits Generation Highs

By John Del Vecchio and Brad Lamensdorf

Market sentiment is now beyond euphoric.

It’s at generational highs.

Take a look at the chart:

Euphoria Hits Generation Highs
Euphoria Hits Generation Highs

As you can see by the purple dot on the far-right hand side of the chart, we have now hit Internet Bubble levels of Euphoria.

We know how that turned out.

What really matters is not where we are but what it means for the future.

This chart proves very helpful in plotting that course.

The shaded grey area highlights the 12-month forward returns. It’s especially telling in super euphoric periods. Those returns are negative. They’re nasty.

Combine this with other indicators such as Buffet’s favorite market indicator, which we highlighted in the Chart of the Week, and it’s not a big stretch of the imagination to have a historic swing the other way.

When will it happen? Who knows? Only liars can predict the future. 

We do know that human nature never changes. With sentiment, valuations, and other factors positioned the way they are right now, buckle up for 2021. It’s going to be epic.

How could you capitalize on this for your own portfolio?

Give Brad a call. The Active Alts SentimenTrader Long / Short Strategy combined decades of experience and world class research in a model to capitalize on any market environment. 

It’s been an eye-popping year.

Book a call here with Brad to discuss one on one!

Brad Lamensdorf

Brad Lamensdorf, the founder and portfolio manager of Active Alts, is a principal and co-manager of the AdvisorShares Ranger Equity Bear ETF. He previously managed a long-short investment partnership from 1998-2005 under the name Tarpon Capital Management. Earlier in his career Mr. Lamensdorf was an equity trader/market strategist for the Bass Brothers’ trading arm. He managed a short only portfolio in addition to co-managing a $1bil hedging program. He also served as in-house market strategist for the entire internal and external network of Bass Brothers money managers.

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