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Intermediate Term Sentiment is Not Outright Bearish

Last week short-term sentiment backed off a bit, and the fear/greed gauge moved down to 55 from the mid 60’s. The NDR short-term composite came in at 70, which is a sell.  I would rate the short term as being mildly negative.

Intermediate-term sentiment is not outright bearish. NDR crowd sentiment is at 70.
Bullish newsletter writers are at 60% and bearish writers are at 18%, creating one of the widest
spreads of the year between the two groups. Having the majority of market participants so aggressively leaning in one direction is a very negative development.


John Del Vecchio

About John Del Vecchio Author of Rule of 72: How to Compound Your Money and Uncover Hidden Stock Profits and What’s Behind The Numbers: A Guide To Exposing Financial Chicanery And Avoiding Huge Losses In Your Portfolio, John is a forensic accountant at heart. Standing on the shoulders of the great David Tice, James O’Shaughnessy and Dr. Howard Schilit, he built a framework of algorithms and a multi-factor grading system that has made him one of the more successful short-sellers around. John graduated Summa Cum Laude from Bryant College with a B.S. in Finance and was awarded Beta Gamma Sigma honors. He earned the right to use the Chartered Financial Analyst designation in September 2001.

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