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Sentiment Indicator Showing Widening Divergence On Outlook for Stock Market Between “Smart” and “Dumb” Investors

Sentiment Indicator Showing Widening Divergence On Outlook for Stock Market Between “Smart” and “Dumb” Investors.  SentimenTrader’s Smart Money/Dumb Money Confidence Spread shows that the recent huge stock market declines are triggering outright panic and increasing pessimism among so-called “dumb money” investors. Meanwhile, the huge declines are making the “smart money” increasingly optimistic about a bottom.  The chart below shows the widening spread between the two groups. This is an indicator that we will continue to watch closely.

Sentiment Indicator Showing Widening Divergence On Outlook for Stock Market Between “Smart” and “Dumb” Investors
Sentiment Indicator Showing Widening Divergence On Outlook for Stock Market Between “Smart” and “Dumb” Investors

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Brad Lamensdorf

Brad Lamensdorf, the founder and portfolio manager of Active Alts, is a principal and co-manager of the AdvisorShares Ranger Equity Bear ETF. He previously managed a long-short investment partnership from 1998-2005 under the name Tarpon Capital Management. Earlier in his career Mr. Lamensdorf was an equity trader/market strategist for the Bass Brothers’ trading arm. He managed a short only portfolio in addition to co-managing a $1bil hedging program. He also served as in-house market strategist for the entire internal and external network of Bass Brothers money managers.

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